Two centuries ago the astronomer William Herschel was reading Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations when he noticed that grain prices fell when the number of sunspots rose. Temperature tends to be warmer at solar maxima so grain grows faster. Better harvests. Lower prices. Farmers always complain of terrible harvests or ruinous prices. In the second half of the 20th century the sun has been at its hottest for over ten thousand years. This is a fact. The influence of this particular Forcing on the temperature of Planet Earth is the very stuff of Skulduggery and High Treason.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change dates its Temperature Forcings from 1750 when the sun was as warm as now. But its start-date for the increase in world temperature is 1900 when the sun was much cooler. This is just a little too contrived…Scientific Fraud in fact…because the warmer the air the more water vapour it holds.

Water is a very odd substance. School Physics has taught my generation that water expands when it freezes which is why unlagged pipes spray water everywhere in the thaw after The Big Freeze…and why there are fish to catch beneath the thin layer of air under the two feet of ice in which Swedish Sports Fishermen cut their holes in the depths of winter. Afterwards they pile into their saunas, drink beer…and sweat profusely before diving into the ice-cold lakes to join the fish they failed to catch. Sweating only makes sense because of the odd properties of water.

In the Climate Changelings’ Theology Carbon Dioxide is just one of several Greenhouse Gases. Methane is another. And Water another. Both Methane and Water have an impact many times greater than Carbon Dioxide. In scientific terms demonising Carbon Emissions means slaughtering cows and eradicating termites to reduce Methane Emissions. According to the Carbonistas the H2O molecule is four times better at destroying the planet than the humble CO2 molecule. But not even the IPCC has the nerve to ignore water vapour...though they have a damn good try.

The IPCC expresses Heat-Energy Forcings in watts per square metre per second. Twentieth Century warming from all sources is around two watts per square metre per second. Not only must IPCC get rid of the Medieval Warm Period they must also ensure that man-made Carbon Emissions are responsible for a significant proportion of this 2.0 watts. Otherwise there is no case to answer and its case would be thrown out of court. So IPCC fiddled the figures.

The first trick was to contrive 0.3 watts for the extent of Solar Temperature Feedback Forcings. The figure would have been 0.7 watts if the IPCC had adopted 1900 instead of 1750 for its start-date and…1.9 watts if it had adopted the Royal Society’s climate feedback 2.7 multiplier guideline. Next the IPCC slashed the Natural Greenhouse Effect by 40 percent from 33C in the climate physics textbooks to 20C making the man-made additions appear bigger.

Finally there is the Battle of the Lambdas…the factor converting Forcings to Temperature. The Stefan-Boltzman Law is to the thermodynamics of climate as Einstein’s equation E=mc2 is to astrophysics. Boltzman relates energy to the square of the speed of light but by reference to temperature rather than mass. It was derived experimentally 100-years ago by a Slovenian professor and proved by his Austrian student. Buried in the small print of IPCC’s third assessment report is the bizarre statement that its climate models had found lambda to be 0.5C per watt of Forcing. Lambda from the Boltzman Equation is half this…based on Experiments with Nature not Manipulations with Computers.

Lambda Inflation is in fashion because the bigger the value of lambda the bigger the temperature increase you can predict from any particular set of Forcings Data. James Hansen who invented Global Warming in his evidence to Senate Hearings in the middle of a Washington Heatwave offers lambdas of 0.67, 0.75 or 1.0. John Houghton who chaired the IPCC working group trumps this with 0.8 while IPCC’s computer models now use 1.0. But The Stern Report deserves an Oscar for its implied lambda of 1.9…between six and eight times the Boltzman lambda.

Multiply by Boltzman’s lambda and temperature rise this century is in line with observation at 0.44 to 0.6C. Stern’s lambda gives nonsense. The Hadley Centre had the same problem so they now have one lambda to predict with and another…lambda divided by three…to match actual 20th Century temperatures. My Texan artist friend Bob Stuart had a parrot in his studio. He had trained it to say ‘Get A Rope and Hang The Bastards!’ Hark! I hear it even now!

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